Danubio vs Racing Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Danubio welcome Racing Montevideo for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 23 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Danubio are 14th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Racing Montevideo are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Danubio, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Boston River, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Racing Montevideo, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Club Nacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Racing Montevideo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Danubio.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Racing Montevideo 4–0 Danubio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Danubio 0.9 xG, Racing Montevideo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Danubio 29%, draw 25%, Racing Montevideo 46%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Danubio 1–1 Racing Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Danubio29%fair 3.49 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.88
Racing Montevideo46%fair 2.15 · @2.25
2.15Expected goals
0.90Danubio xG
1.25Racing Montevideo xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Danubio 0.9 – 1.3 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Danubio vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Danubio vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Danubio have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Racing Montevideo 46%.
How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Danubio 1–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Danubio vs Racing Montevideo?
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
