Real Madrid W 70%Draw 14%Ajax W 16%Expected goals 2.11 – 0.82
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid W to win ✓70% · @1.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.26
Real Madrid W vs Ajax W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Madrid W welcome Ajax W for a UEFA Champions League Women fixture on Wednesday 2 September (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Real Madrid W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atletico Madrid W, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ajax W, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Madrid W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Aug 2026) it ended Ajax W 0–2 Real Madrid W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid W 2.1 xG, Ajax W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid W 70%, draw 14%, Ajax W 16%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid W 2–1 Ajax W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid W70%fair 1.44 · @1.13
Draw14%fair 6.93 · @6.60
Ajax W16%fair 6.28 · @15.00
2.93Expected goals
2.11Real Madrid W xG
0.82Ajax W xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real Madrid W 2.1 – 0.8 Ajax W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
On our numbers Real Madrid W have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Ajax W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid W 2–1 Ajax W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
Real Madrid W vs Ajax W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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