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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alessandria v Imperia: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone A · Italy · Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta
2–1
FT

Imperia

WLDWL
Alessandria 45%Draw 23%Imperia 32% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.18
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlessandria to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.17

Alessandria vs Imperia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Alessandria v Imperia in the Serie D Girone A, played at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta. In the table, Alessandria are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 11 matches; Imperia are 9th (upper half) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Alessandria, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Asti, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Imperia, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fezzanese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Alessandria, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Imperia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alessandria 1.5 xG, Imperia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alessandria 45%, draw 23%, Imperia 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alessandria 1–1 Imperia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alessandria45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Imperia32%fair 3.13 · @3.20
2.63Expected goals
1.45Alessandria xG
1.18Imperia xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Alessandria 1.5 – 1.2 Imperia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlessandria to win ✓45%2.242.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.85
Draw no betAlessandria (draw no bet) ✓58%1.71–
Asian handicapImperia +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAlessandria to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alessandria / FT Alessandria ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.17–

Recent results

Alessandria – last 4

WLWW
27 Sepvs Asti2–0W
16 Sep@ Millesimo1–4L
13 Sepvs Sestri Levante2–1W
6 Sep@ Valenzana2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Imperia – last 6

WLDWLL
27 Sepvs Fezzanese2–0W
16 Sepvs Asti1–2L
13 Sep@ Derthona1–1D
6 Sepvs Millesimo1–0W
9 Aug@ Pro Patria1–2L
3 Mayvs Celle Varazze0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Imperia.

Alessandria vs Imperia head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Imperia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Alessandria vs Imperia?

On our numbers Alessandria have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Imperia 32%.

How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Imperia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alessandria vs Imperia?

Our predicted score is Alessandria 1–1 Imperia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Alessandria vs Imperia?

Alessandria vs Imperia (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.