Alessandria vs Imperia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Alessandria v Imperia in the Serie D Girone A, played at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta. In the table, Alessandria are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 11 matches; Imperia are 9th (upper half) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alessandria, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Asti, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Imperia, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fezzanese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alessandria, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Imperia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alessandria 1.5 xG, Imperia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alessandria 45%, draw 23%, Imperia 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alessandria 1–1 Imperia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alessandria45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Imperia32%fair 3.13 · @3.20
2.63Expected goals
1.45Alessandria xG
1.18Imperia xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Alessandria 1.5 – 1.2 Imperia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alessandria to win✓
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Alessandria (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Imperia +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Alessandria to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Alessandria – last 4
WLWW
27 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ Millesimo
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Sestri Levante
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Valenzana
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Imperia – last 6
WLDWLL
27 Sep
vs Fezzanese
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Asti
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Derthona
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Millesimo
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Pro Patria
1–2
L
3 May
vs Celle Varazze
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Imperia.
What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Imperia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Alessandria vs Imperia?
On our numbers Alessandria have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Imperia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Imperia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alessandria vs Imperia?
Our predicted score is Alessandria 1–1 Imperia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alessandria vs Imperia?
Alessandria vs Imperia (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.