Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultLuparense to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceLuparense or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Luparense vs Virtus Bolzano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Luparense v Virtus Bolzano in the Serie D Girone C. In the table, Luparense are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Virtus Bolzano are 15th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Luparense, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mestre, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Virtus Bolzano, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brian Lignano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luparense 2.0 xG, Virtus Bolzano 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luparense 66%, draw 22%, Virtus Bolzano 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Luparense to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luparense 1–0 Virtus Bolzano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luparense66%fair 1.51 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.60
Virtus Bolzano12%fair 8.58 · @8.00
2.71Expected goals
1.99Luparense xG
0.72Virtus Bolzano xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Luparense 2.0 – 0.7 Virtus Bolzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luparense to win✓
66%
1.51
1.30
Double chance
Luparense or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Luparense (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Luparense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Luparense to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Luparense ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luparense / FT Luparense✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Luparense – last 6
DWLLWD
13 Sep
@ Mestre
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Legnago Salus
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cittadella
0–1
L
3 May
@ Este
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Vigasio
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Conegliano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Virtus Bolzano – last 3
WLL
13 Sep
vs Brian Lignano
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Clodiense
0–2
L
25 Jul
@ Modena
0–5
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luparense and Virtus Bolzano.
What is the prediction for Luparense vs Virtus Bolzano?
Our pick is Luparense to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Luparense vs Virtus Bolzano?
On our numbers Luparense have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Virtus Bolzano 12%.
How many goals will there be in Luparense vs Virtus Bolzano?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luparense vs Virtus Bolzano?
Our predicted score is Luparense 1–0 Virtus Bolzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Luparense vs Virtus Bolzano?
Luparense vs Virtus Bolzano (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
