Value bet: Altavilla to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLuparense to win ✗45% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Altavilla vs Luparense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Serie D Girone C brings Altavilla against Luparense. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Altavilla are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Luparense are 2nd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Altavilla, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Brian Lignano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Luparense, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sandona, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Luparense, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Altavilla.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Luparense 1–1 Altavilla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Altavilla 1.2 xG, Luparense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Altavilla 32%, draw 23%, Luparense 45%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Altavilla to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altavilla 1–1 Luparense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Altavilla32%fair 3.12 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Luparense45%fair 2.24 · @2.02
2.62Expected goals
1.17Altavilla xG
1.44Luparense xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Altavilla 1.2 – 1.4 Luparense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Altavilla vs Luparense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Altavilla vs Luparense?
On our numbers Altavilla have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Luparense 45%.
How many goals will there be in Altavilla vs Luparense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altavilla vs Luparense?
Our predicted score is Altavilla 1–1 Luparense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Altavilla vs Luparense?
Altavilla vs Luparense (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
