Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.06 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLuparense to win ✗67% · @1.43
Double chanceLuparense or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.06
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Luparense vs Calvi Noale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Luparense welcome Calvi Noale for a Serie D Girone C fixture on Sunday 1 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Luparense are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Calvi Noale are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Luparense, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Altavilla, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Calvi Noale, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Este, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Luparense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Calvi Noale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luparense 1.8 xG, Calvi Noale 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luparense 67%, draw 20%, Calvi Noale 13%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.06.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.06 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luparense 1–0 Calvi Noale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luparense67%fair 1.48 · @1.43
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.20
Calvi Noale13%fair 7.76 · @6.56
2.37Expected goals
1.78Luparense xG
0.59Calvi Noale xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Luparense 1.8 – 0.6 Calvi Noale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luparense to win✗
67%
1.48
1.43
Double chance
Luparense or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.06 ▲
Draw no bet
Luparense (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Luparense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Luparense to score first✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Luparense ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luparense / FT Luparense✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Luparense – last 6
DDWWWD
25 Oct
@ Altavilla
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Sandona
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Este
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Brian Lignano
3–1
W
27 Sep
vs Clodiense
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Schio
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Calvi Noale – last 6
LLLWLW
25 Oct
vs Este
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Clodiense
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Sandona
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Virtus Bolzano
3–1
W
27 Sep
vs Brian Lignano
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Legnago Salus
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luparense and Calvi Noale.
What is the prediction for Luparense vs Calvi Noale?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Luparense vs Calvi Noale?
On our numbers Luparense have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Calvi Noale 13%.
How many goals will there be in Luparense vs Calvi Noale?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luparense vs Calvi Noale?
Our predicted score is Luparense 1–0 Calvi Noale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Luparense vs Calvi Noale?
Luparense vs Calvi Noale (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
