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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bassano Virtus v Calvi Noale: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone C · Italy · Stadio Rino Mercante
1–1
FT
Bassano Virtus 40%Draw 23%Calvi Noale 37% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.05
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2

Value bet: Calvi Noale to win @ 3.15 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBassano Virtus to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.29

Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bassano Virtus welcome Calvi Noale to Stadio Rino Mercante for a Serie D Girone C fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Bassano Virtus are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Calvi Noale are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Bassano Virtus, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Clodiense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Calvi Noale, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Luparense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bassano Virtus, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Calvi Noale.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Bassano Virtus 0–1 Calvi Noale.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bassano Virtus 1.1 xG, Calvi Noale 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bassano Virtus 40%, draw 23%, Calvi Noale 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.84.
  • Price worth noting: Calvi Noale to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bassano Virtus 1–1 Calvi Noale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bassano Virtus40%fair 2.48 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.05
Calvi Noale37%fair 2.74 · @3.15
2.17Expected goals
1.12Bassano Virtus xG
1.05Calvi Noale xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Bassano Virtus 1.1 – 1.0 Calvi Noale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBassano Virtus to win ✗40%2.482.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.84
Draw no betBassano Virtus (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapCalvi Noale +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreBassano Virtus to score first ✓46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bassano Virtus / FT Bassano Virtus ✗21%4.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.29–

Recent results

Bassano Virtus – last 6

DLLWWW
1 Nov@ Clodiense0–0D
25 Octvs Sandona0–3L
18 Oct@ Virtus Bolzano1–2L
11 Octvs Brian Lignano1–0W
4 Oct@ Legnago Salus2–0W
27 Sepvs Schio2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Calvi Noale – last 6

DLLLWL
1 Nov@ Luparense2–2D
25 Octvs Este0–1L
18 Oct@ Clodiense2–3L
11 Octvs Sandona0–2L
4 Oct@ Virtus Bolzano3–1W
27 Sepvs Brian Lignano0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Bassano Virtus v Calvi Noale0–1
Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cjarlins Muzane11812+1225
2Luparense11560+1221
3Sandona11542+519
4Clodiense11542+319
5Campodarsego11533+318
6Mestre11452+417
7Legnago Salus11443+316
8Este11515+116
9Conegliano11434-315
10Bassano Virtus11353014
11FC Obermais11344-213
12Triestina11344-313
13LME11344-413
14Altavilla11254+511
15Virtus Bolzano11326-1611
16Calvi Noale11245-410
17Schio11155-58
18Brian Lignano11128-115

More Serie D Girone C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?

On our numbers Bassano Virtus have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Calvi Noale 37%.

How many goals will there be in Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?

Our predicted score is Bassano Virtus 1–1 Calvi Noale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?

Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rino Mercante.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.