Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultReggina to win ✗68% · @1.40
Double chanceReggina or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.61
CastrumFavara vs Reggina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CastrumFavara welcome Reggina for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Wednesday 28 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, CastrumFavara are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Reggina are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CastrumFavara, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Trapani 1905, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Reggina, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nissa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Reggina, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for CastrumFavara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CastrumFavara 0.6 xG, Reggina 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CastrumFavara 12%, draw 20%, Reggina 68%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Reggina to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: CastrumFavara 0–1 Reggina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CastrumFavara12%fair 8.53 · @6.50
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.10
Reggina68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
2.53Expected goals
0.63CastrumFavara xG
1.90Reggina xG
42%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
0–39%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: CastrumFavara 0.6 – 1.9 Reggina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Reggina to win✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Double chance
Reggina or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Reggina (draw no bet)
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Reggina -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Reggina to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Reggina ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Reggina / FT Reggina✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.61
–
Recent results
CastrumFavara – last 6
LWLLLD
18 Oct
@ Trapani 1905
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Igea Virtus
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ Vigor Lamezia
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Calcio Avola
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Modica
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Licata
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Reggina – last 6
WDLLWW
18 Oct
@ Nissa
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Vibonese
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Igea Virtus
2–3
L
4 Oct
@ Trapani 1905
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Igea Virtus
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Vigor Lamezia
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CastrumFavara and Reggina.
What is the prediction for CastrumFavara vs Reggina?
Our pick is Reggina to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CastrumFavara vs Reggina?
On our numbers CastrumFavara have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Reggina 68%.
How many goals will there be in CastrumFavara vs Reggina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CastrumFavara vs Reggina?
Our predicted score is CastrumFavara 0–1 Reggina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is CastrumFavara vs Reggina?
CastrumFavara vs Reggina (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
