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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sambiase v Nissa: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT

Nissa

LDDLL
Sambiase 47%Draw 22%Nissa 31% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.09
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultSambiase to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.68

Sambiase vs Nissa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Sambiase v Nissa in the Serie D Girone I. In the table, Sambiase are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 11 matches; Nissa are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sambiase, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Calcio Avola, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nissa, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Reggina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sambiase, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Nissa.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Sambiase 1–1 Nissa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sambiase 1.4 xG, Nissa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sambiase 47%, draw 22%, Nissa 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sambiase 1–1 Nissa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sambiase47%fair 2.15 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Nissa31%fair 3.23 · @3.00
2.51Expected goals
1.42Sambiase xG
1.09Nissa xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Sambiase 1.4 – 1.1 Nissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSambiase to win ✓47%2.152.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betSambiase (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapNissa +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreSambiase to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sambiase / FT Sambiase ✓26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12%8.68–

Recent results

Sambiase – last 6

DWLWWW
18 Oct@ Calcio Avola1–1D
11 Octvs Trapani 19051–0W
4 Oct@ Licata1–2L
27 Sepvs Vigor Lamezia4–1W
20 Sep@ Milazzo1–0W
16 Sepvs Modica1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Nissa – last 6

LDDLLW
18 Octvs Reggina1–2L
11 Oct@ Ragusa1–1D
4 Oct@ Igea Virtus1–1D
27 Sepvs Vibonese0–2L
20 Sep@ Calcio Avola2–4L
16 Sepvs Trapani 19052–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Sambiase v Nissa1–1
Sambiase vs Nissa head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone I table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Reggina11821+2126
2Sambiase11821+1126
3Vibonese11731+1424
4Calcio Avola11614+119
5Milazzo11614+119
6Digiesse PraiaTortora11533+618
7Igea Virtus11533+318
8Gela11443+415
9Siracusa11632+814
10AC Palermo11425-114
11Licata11425-1114
12Modica11416+113
13Nissa11335+112
14Trapani 190511425-59
15CastrumFavara11227-78
16Vigor Lamezia11227-108
17Ragusa11038-143
18Enna11038-233

More Serie D Girone I predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sambiase vs Nissa?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Sambiase vs Nissa?

On our numbers Sambiase have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nissa 31%.

How many goals will there be in Sambiase vs Nissa?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sambiase vs Nissa?

Our predicted score is Sambiase 1–1 Nissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sambiase vs Nissa?

Sambiase vs Nissa (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.