Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw79% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.12
Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Aversa travel to face Virtus Francavilla on Sunday 15 November in the Serie D Girone H, with Stadio Giovanni Paolo II the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Virtus Francavilla are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Real Aversa are 11th (lower half) with 14. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Virtus Francavilla, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Francavilla, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Real Aversa, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Manfredonia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Virtus Francavilla, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Real Aversa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Francavilla 1.8 xG, Real Aversa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Francavilla 58%, draw 21%, Real Aversa 21%.
Lower-risk option: Virtus Francavilla or draw (79%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.71.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Francavilla 1–1 Real Aversa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Virtus Francavilla58%fair 1.72 · @1.63
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.70
Real Aversa21%fair 4.82 · @4.20
2.80Expected goals
1.85Virtus Francavilla xG
0.95Real Aversa xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.8 – 0.9 Real Aversa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Virtus Francavilla
Real Aversa
Attack vs Serie D Girone H average
+27%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.89
0.91
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone H result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Francavilla to win
58%
1.72
1.63
Double chance
Virtus Francavilla or draw
79%
1.26
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.71
Draw no bet
Virtus Francavilla (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Real Aversa +1.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Virtus Francavilla to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Virtus Francavilla ahead at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Virtus Francavilla – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Nov
@ Francavilla
1–0
W
1 Nov
@ Turris
2–1
W
28 Oct
@ Fidelis Andria
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Manfredonia
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Fidelis Andria
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Real Forio 2014
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Aversa – last 6
DDWDDL
8 Nov
vs Manfredonia
0–0
D
1 Nov
@ Real Forio 2014
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs L'Aquila
6–0
W
25 Oct
vs Turris
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Gladiator
3–3
D
11 Oct
vs Fidelis Andria
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Real Aversa.
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Aversa 21%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
Our predicted score is Virtus Francavilla 1–1 Real Aversa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
