Value bet: Vigor Senigallia to win @ 1.72 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVigor Senigallia to win ✓64% · @1.72
Double chanceVigor Senigallia or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.51
Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vigor Senigallia welcome Pietralunga for a Serie D Girone F fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Vigor Senigallia are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Pietralunga are 16th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Vigor Senigallia, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Foligno Calcio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Pietralunga, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fossombrone, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pietralunga, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Vigor Senigallia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vigor Senigallia 1.9 xG, Pietralunga 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vigor Senigallia 64%, draw 23%, Pietralunga 13%.
Lower-risk option: Vigor Senigallia or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.78.
Price worth noting: Vigor Senigallia to win @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vigor Senigallia 2–0 Pietralunga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vigor Senigallia64%fair 1.56 · @1.72
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.38
Pietralunga13%fair 7.97 · @4.10
2.64Expected goals
1.91Vigor Senigallia xG
0.74Pietralunga xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vigor Senigallia 1.9 – 0.7 Pietralunga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vigor Senigallia to win✓
64%
1.56
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Vigor Senigallia or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.78
Draw no bet
Vigor Senigallia (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Vigor Senigallia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Vigor Senigallia to score first✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Vigor Senigallia ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vigor Senigallia / FT Vigor Senigallia✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Vigor Senigallia – last 6
LLWLLD
1 Nov
@ Foligno Calcio
1–3
L
25 Oct
vs Ancona
0–5
L
18 Oct
@ Santegidiese
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Atletico Ascoli
1–2
L
4 Oct
@ Teramo
4–6
L
27 Sep
vs Fossombrone
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pietralunga – last 6
DLWWLD
1 Nov
vs Fossombrone
0–0
D
25 Oct
@ Real Giulianova
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Sporting Trestina
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Angelana
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs L'Aquila
0–3
L
26 Sep
@ Notaresco
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigor Senigallia and Pietralunga.
What is the prediction for Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
On our numbers Vigor Senigallia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pietralunga 13%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
Our predicted score is Vigor Senigallia 2–0 Pietralunga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
