Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Charlton Athletic U21 to win @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCharlton Athletic U21 to win ✗52% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4% · fair 22.48
Stoke City U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the Premier League Cup brings Stoke City U21 against Charlton Athletic U21 at Bet365 Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Stoke City U21 are 2nd on 6 points after 6 matches; Charlton Athletic U21 are 2nd with 10.
Current form
Stoke City U21, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AFC Bournemouth U21, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Charlton Athletic U21, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Bristol City U21, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Charlton Athletic U21, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Stoke City U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City U21 1.1 xG, Charlton Athletic U21 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City U21 30%, draw 18%, Charlton Athletic U21 52%.
Price worth noting: Charlton Athletic U21 to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City U21 1–2 Charlton Athletic U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stoke City U2130%fair 3.31 · @2.38
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @4.10
Charlton Athletic U2152%fair 1.94 · @2.25
2.71Expected goals
1.12Stoke City U21 xG
1.59Charlton Athletic U21 xG
49%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Stoke City U21 1.1 – 1.6 Charlton Athletic U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlton Athletic U21 to win✗
52%
1.94
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Charlton Athletic U21 (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Stoke City U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Charlton Athletic U21 to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlton Athletic U21 / FT Charlton Athletic U21✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
4%
22.48
–
Recent results
Stoke City U21 – last 6
LLWLLD
21 Sep
@ AFC Bournemouth U21
1–2
L
16 Sep
vs Borussia M'gladbach II
0–2
L
11 Sep
vs Wolves U21
4–0
W
8 Sep
@ Wealdstone
0–6
L
4 Sep
@ Stockport County U21
0–4
L
28 Aug
@ Norwich City U21
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic U21 – last 6
LWWDWD
6 Oct
@ Bristol City U21
1–4
L
29 Sep
vs Millwall U21
1–0
W
22 Sep
vs Sheffield United U21
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Sheffield Wednesday U21
2–2
D
4 Sep
vs Leeds United U21
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Wigan Athletic U21
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City U21 and Charlton Athletic U21.
What is the prediction for Stoke City U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Stoke City U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21?
On our numbers Stoke City U21 have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Charlton Athletic U21 52%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21?
Our predicted score is Stoke City U21 1–2 Charlton Athletic U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Stoke City U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21?
Stoke City U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 (Premier League Cup) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Birmingham City U212
Huddersfield Town U214
Brighton U212
Burnley U212
Preston North End U212
Cardiff City U211
Leicester City U213
Ipswich Town U212
West Bromwich Albion U212
Leeds United U213
Stockport County U211
Millwall U211
West Ham United U210
Peterborough United U211
Nottingham Forest U215