Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultBrentford U21 to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brentford U21 welcome Derby County U21 for a Premier League Cup fixture on Saturday 10 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Brentford U21 are 2nd on 12 points after 6 matches; Derby County U21 are 3rd with 5.
Current form
Brentford U21, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Milton Keynes Dons, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Derby County U21, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Burnley U21, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brentford U21 1.9 xG, Derby County U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brentford U21 61%, draw 16%, Derby County U21 23%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Brentford U21 to win (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brentford U21 2–1 Derby County U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brentford U2161%fair 1.64 · @1.73
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @4.00
Derby County U2123%fair 4.39 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
1.95Brentford U21 xG
1.05Derby County U21 xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Brentford U21 1.9 – 1.1 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brentford U21 to win✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Draw no bet
Brentford U21 (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Derby County U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Brentford U21 to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Brentford U21 ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brentford U21 / FT Brentford U21✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Brentford U21 – last 6
LWLLDW
6 Oct
@ Milton Keynes Dons
1–7
L
22 Sep
@ Bromley
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Manchester United U21
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Everton U21
0–2
L
8 Sep
@ Hull City U21
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Sunderland U21
5–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Derby County U21 – last 6
LLWDWL
18 Sep
@ Burnley U21
1–4
L
11 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Gateshead
3–1
W
31 Aug
vs West Bromwich Albion U21
4–4
D
24 Aug
@ Reading U21
3–1
W
18 Aug
@ FC Halifax Town
2–6
L
2.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brentford U21 and Derby County U21.
What is the prediction for Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our pick is Brentford U21 to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
On our numbers Brentford U21 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Derby County U21 23%.
How many goals will there be in Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our predicted score is Brentford U21 2–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 (Premier League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
