Leeds United U21 61%Draw 22%Stoke City U21 17%Expected goals 1.55 – 0.62
83%
Betarazi pick
Leeds United U21 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Leeds United U21 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeeds United U21 to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceLeeds United U21 or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leeds United U21 welcome Stoke City U21 to LNER Community Stadium for a Premier League Cup fixture on Saturday 31 October (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Leeds United U21, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Crystal Palace U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Stoke City U21, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Manchester City U21, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leeds United U21, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Stoke City U21.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Aug 2026) it ended Stoke City U21 0–0 Leeds United U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leeds United U21 1.5 xG, Stoke City U21 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leeds United U21 61%, draw 22%, Stoke City U21 17%.
Lower-risk option: Leeds United U21 or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Leeds United U21 to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Leeds United U21 or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leeds United U21 1–0 Stoke City U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leeds United U2161%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Stoke City U2117%fair 6.04 · @3.40
2.17Expected goals
1.55Leeds United U21 xG
0.62Stoke City U21 xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Leeds United U21 1.5 – 0.6 Stoke City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Our pick is Leeds United U21 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?
On our numbers Leeds United U21 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stoke City U21 17%.
How many goals will there be in Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Our predicted score is Leeds United U21 1–0 Stoke City U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21 (Premier League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LNER Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
