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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Luki-Energiya v Cherepovets: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia

Luki-Energiya

DLWLW
4–1
FT

Cherepovets

DDDLW
Luki-Energiya 45%Draw 21%Cherepovets 33% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.12
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Cherepovets to win @ 3.28 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLuki-Energiya to win ✓45% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44

Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Luki-Energiya welcome Cherepovets for a Cup fixture on Thursday 27 August (14:00 WAT).

Current form

Luki-Energiya, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dinamo Vologda, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Cherepovets, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dinamo St. Petersburg, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Luki-Energiya 3–0 Cherepovets.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Luki-Energiya 1.4 xG, Cherepovets 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Luki-Energiya 45%, draw 21%, Cherepovets 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.51.
  • Price worth noting: Cherepovets to win @3.28 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luki-Energiya 1–1 Cherepovets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Luki-Energiya45%fair 2.21 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.35
Cherepovets33%fair 3.01 · @3.28
2.50Expected goals
1.38Luki-Energiya xG
1.12Cherepovets xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Luki-Energiya 1.4 – 1.1 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLuki-Energiya to win ✓45%2.211.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.51
Draw no betLuki-Energiya (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapCherepovets +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.191.14
First team to scoreLuki-Energiya to score first51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Luki-Energiya / FT Luki-Energiya ✗25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.44–

Recent results

Luki-Energiya – last 6

DLWLWL
23 Aug@ Dinamo Vologda2–2D
16 Augvs Baltika II1–3L
12 Aug@ Zvezda St. Petersburg2–1W
9 Aug@ Yenisey II0–1L
2 Augvs Chertanovo Moscow3–2W
26 Jul@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Cherepovets – last 6

DDDLWL
22 Aug@ Dinamo St. Petersburg0–0D
12 Aug@ FC Tosno0–0D
9 Augvs Spartak Moscow 21–1D
2 Aug@ Tver0–5L
26 Julvs Iskra Smolensk2–1W
5 Jul@ Luki-Energiya0–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Luki-Energiya v Cherepovets3–0
Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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FT Dinamo Barnaul5 Irtysh Omsk0 142%2.31X22%3.30236%2.72 1.4–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.35 ✗
FT 2Drots0 Murom3 149%2.23X24%2.98227%3.06 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.31 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?

On our numbers Luki-Energiya have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cherepovets 33%.

How many goals will there be in Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?

Our predicted score is Luki-Energiya 1–1 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?

Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.