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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tre Fiori v Fiorentino: numbers & prediction

Coppa Titano · San-Marino

Tre Fiori

DWLWW
5–0
FT

Fiorentino

DWLDL
Tre Fiori 66%Draw 23%Fiorentino 11% Expected goals 1.55 – 0.44
66%
Betarazi pick

Tre Fiori to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTre Fiori to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceTre Fiori or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59% · fair 1.69
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.72

Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the Coppa Titano brings Tre Fiori against Fiorentino. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Tre Fiori, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tre Penne, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Fiorentino, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cailungo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tre Fiori, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Fiorentino.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Sep 2026) it ended Fiorentino 0–1 Tre Fiori.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tre Fiori 1.5 xG, Fiorentino 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 55% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Fiori 66%, draw 23%, Fiorentino 11%.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tre Fiori to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Fiori 1–0 Fiorentino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tre Fiori66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.50
Fiorentino11%fair 8.80 · @5.00
1.99Expected goals
1.55Tre Fiori xG
0.44Fiorentino xG
35%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Tre Fiori 1.5 – 0.4 Fiorentino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTre Fiori to win ✓66%1.521.44
Double chanceTre Fiori or draw ✓89%1.131.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓65%1.54–
Draw no betTre Fiori (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapTre Fiori -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.802.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗95%1.05–
First team to scoreTre Fiori to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tre Fiori / FT Tre Fiori ✓40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.72–

Recent results

Tre Fiori – last 6

DWLWWW
23 Oct@ Tre Penne0–0D
10 Oct@ San Giovanni1–0W
18 Sepvs Virtus2–3L
11 Sepvs Domagnano3–0W
8 Sep@ Fiorentino1–0W
4 Sep@ Faetano4–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fiorentino – last 6

DWLDLL
24 Octvs Cailungo1–1D
10 Oct@ Faetano6–0W
19 Sep@ Pennarossa1–3L
11 Sepvs La Fiorita1–1D
8 Sepvs Tre Fiori0–1L
4 Sepvs Virtus0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Sep 2026Fiorentino v Tre Fiori0–1
Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino head-to-head page →

More Coppa Titano predictions

League hub
FT Faetano2 Domagnano4 121%3.70X20%3.50258%1.80 1.3–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.67 ✓
FT Virtus3 Murata0 173%1.10X18%7.0029%15.00 2.5–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino?

Our pick is Tre Fiori to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino?

On our numbers Tre Fiori have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fiorentino 11%.

How many goals will there be in Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino?

Our predicted score is Tre Fiori 1–0 Fiorentino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino?

Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino (Coppa Titano) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.