Value bet: Petrolul Ploiesti to win @ 2.41 – our chance 50% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPetrolul Ploiesti to win ✗50% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13
CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 18 August the Cupa României brings CSM Reşiţa against Petrolul Ploiesti. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT.
Current form
CSM Reşiţa, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ştefăneşti, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Petrolul Ploiesti, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Voluntari, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSM Reşiţa 1.7 xG, Petrolul Ploiesti 2.3 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSM Reşiţa 26%, draw 24%, Petrolul Ploiesti 50%.
Price worth noting: Petrolul Ploiesti to win @2.41 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSM Reşiţa 1–2 Petrolul Ploiesti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSM Reşiţa26%fair 3.80 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Petrolul Ploiesti50%fair 2.02 · @2.41
4.00Expected goals
1.70CSM Reşiţa xG
2.30Petrolul Ploiesti xG
59%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
1–36%
2–16%
2–35%
From our goals model: CSM Reşiţa 1.7 – 2.3 Petrolul Ploiesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Petrolul Ploiesti to win✗
50%
2.02
2.41 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Petrolul Ploiesti (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
CSM Reşiţa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Petrolul Ploiesti to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Petrolul Ploiesti ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Petrolul Ploiesti / FT Petrolul Ploiesti✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
CSM Reşiţa – last 6
WWWWLL
15 Aug
vs Ştefăneşti
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Timişul Şag
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ CSM Satu Mare
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs ASA Targu Mures
2–1
W
9 May
@ Tunari
1–3
L
2 May
vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Petrolul Ploiesti – last 6
WWLLWD
14 Aug
@ FC Voluntari
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Oţelul
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Universitatea Craiova
0–4
L
24 Jul
@ Arges Pitesti
0–1
L
19 Jul
vs Dinamo Bucuresti
1–0
W
10 Jul
vs ASA Targu Mures
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSM Reşiţa and Petrolul Ploiesti.
What is the prediction for CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 76% chance.
Who will win CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
On our numbers CSM Reşiţa have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Petrolul Ploiesti 50%.
How many goals will there be in CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our predicted score is CSM Reşiţa 1–2 Petrolul Ploiesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti (Cupa României) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea1
Chindia Targoviste1