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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Miramar v Rentistas: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Parque Palermo

Miramar

LDLLL
1–1
FT
Miramar 27%Draw 23%Rentistas 50% Expected goals 0.92 – 1.39
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Rentistas to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRentistas to win ✗50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Miramar vs Rentistas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Miramar welcome Rentistas to Parque Palermo for a Segunda División fixture on Friday 21 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Miramar are 12th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 25 matches; Rentistas are 2nd (among the top four) with 40.

Current form

Miramar, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CA River Plate, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Rentistas, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tacuarembo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rentistas, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Miramar.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Rentistas 1–0 Miramar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Miramar 0 wins, Rentistas 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Miramar 0.9 xG, Rentistas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Miramar 27%, draw 23%, Rentistas 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Rentistas to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miramar 0–1 Rentistas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Miramar27%fair 3.69 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Rentistas50%fair 2.01 · @2.15
2.31Expected goals
0.92Miramar xG
1.39Rentistas xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Miramar 0.9 – 1.4 Rentistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRentistas to win ✗50%2.012.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.85
Draw no betRentistas (draw no bet)65%1.54–
Asian handicapMiramar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreRentistas to score first54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rentistas / FT Rentistas ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Miramar – last 6

LDLLLL
15 Aug@ CA River Plate0–3L
9 Augvs Tacuarembo1–1D
2 Aug@ Plaza Colonia0–3L
26 Julvs La Luz0–1L
26 Jul@ Cashmere Technical1–2L
12 Jul@ Cerrito0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rentistas – last 6

LDWDWL
16 Augvs Tacuarembo0–1L
10 Augvs Plaza Colonia1–1D
1 Aug@ La Luz5–2W
18 Julvs Cerrito0–0D
12 Jul@ Atenas3–1W
4 Julvs Paysandu1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Rentistas v Miramar1–0
29 Apr 2026Rentistas v Miramar1–1
Miramar vs Rentistas head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Miramar vs Rentistas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Miramar vs Rentistas?

On our numbers Miramar have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rentistas 50%.

How many goals will there be in Miramar vs Rentistas?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Miramar vs Rentistas?

Our predicted score is Miramar 0–1 Rentistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Miramar vs Rentistas?

Miramar vs Rentistas (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.