Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerrito welcome Uruguay Montevideo for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 22 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Cerrito are 8th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Uruguay Montevideo are 14th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cerrito, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oriental, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atenas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Cerrito 2–1 Uruguay Montevideo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerrito 1.3 xG, Uruguay Montevideo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerrito 43%, draw 23%, Uruguay Montevideo 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerrito 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerrito43%fair 2.32 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Uruguay Montevideo34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
2.41Expected goals
1.30Cerrito xG
1.11Uruguay Montevideo xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cerrito 1.3 – 1.1 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Cerrito have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Uruguay Montevideo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
