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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Midlands Wanderers v Lerumo Lions: numbers & prediction

1st Division · South-Africa
1–2
FT
Midlands Wanderers 30%Draw 25%Lerumo Lions 45% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.16
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.46Odds
2

Value bet: Lerumo Lions to win @ 2.58 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLerumo Lions to win ✓45% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.94

Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the 1st Division brings Midlands Wanderers against Lerumo Lions. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Midlands Wanderers are 13th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Lerumo Lions are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Midlands Wanderers, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to The Bees, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Lerumo Lions, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over University of Pretoria, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lerumo Lions, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Midlands Wanderers.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Midlands Wanderers 1–1 Lerumo Lions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Midlands Wanderers 0.9 xG, Lerumo Lions 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Midlands Wanderers 30%, draw 25%, Lerumo Lions 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.01.
  • Price worth noting: Lerumo Lions to win @2.58 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Midlands Wanderers 0–1 Lerumo Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Midlands Wanderers30%fair 3.29 · @2.68
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.77
Lerumo Lions45%fair 2.24 · @2.58
2.05Expected goals
0.89Midlands Wanderers xG
1.16Lerumo Lions xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Midlands Wanderers 0.9 – 1.2 Lerumo Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLerumo Lions to win ✓45%2.242.58 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.01
Draw no betLerumo Lions (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapMidlands Wanderers +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.621.47
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.46
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.211.13
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreLerumo Lions to score first49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lerumo Lions / FT Lerumo Lions24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.94–

Recent results

Midlands Wanderers – last 6

LLWLDL
31 Oct@ The Bees0–2L
23 Octvs Upington City0–1L
10 Octvs Venda FC1–0W
19 Sep@ Leicesterfield0–1L
12 Sepvs NWU FC1–1D
4 Sep@ Casric Stars0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Lerumo Lions – last 6

WWWDLL
31 Octvs University of Pretoria3–1W
24 Oct@ Leicesterfield3–0W
16 Oct@ Highbury2–1W
10 Octvs Hope FC1–1D
19 Sep@ The Bees0–1L
12 Sepvs Casric Stars0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Midlands Wanderers v Lerumo Lions1–1
Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions head-to-head page →

1st Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cape Town City10631+721
2Magesi10631+721
3Lerumo Lions10622+820
4Casric Stars10622+520
5Hope FC10622+520
6Hungry Lions10442+516
7Upington City10442+316
8Highbury10433015
9NWU FC10352+114
10Gomora United FC10334-412
11Leicesterfield10316-710
12University of Pretoria10235-49
13Midlands Wanderers10226-48
14The Bees10217-67
15Orbit College10055-65
16Venda FC10037-103

More 1st Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?

On our numbers Midlands Wanderers have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lerumo Lions 45%.

How many goals will there be in Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?

Our predicted score is Midlands Wanderers 0–1 Lerumo Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions?

Midlands Wanderers vs Lerumo Lions (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.