Value bet: Naft to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Al Minaa Basra v Naft in the Iraqi League. In the table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Naft are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Al Minaa Basra, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Erbil, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Naft, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Talaba, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Naft, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Al Minaa Basra.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Naft 1–1 Al Minaa Basra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Minaa Basra 1.0 xG, Naft 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Minaa Basra 42%, draw 24%, Naft 34%.
Price worth noting: Naft to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Minaa Basra 0–0 Naft. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Minaa Basra42%fair 2.38 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Naft34%fair 2.98 · @3.20
1.81Expected goals
0.98Al Minaa Basra xG
0.83Naft xG
41%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.0 – 0.8 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Naft?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naft 34%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Naft?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 0–0 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Naft?
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
