Value bet: Al Zawra'a to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Zawra'a to win ✓41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Thursday 10 September: Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Al Zawra'a in the Iraqi League. In the table, Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Al Zawra'a are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Karbala, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Al Zawra'a, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Kahrabaa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al Zawra'a, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Head to head
When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–1 Al Zawra'a.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.4 xG, Al Zawra'a 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Quwa Al Jawiya 36%, draw 23%, Al Zawra'a 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Al Zawra'a to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al Zawra'a. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya36%fair 2.77 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Al Zawra'a41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.92Expected goals
1.41Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
1.51Al Zawra'a xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.4 – 1.5 Al Zawra'a expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Zawra'a 41%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al Zawra'a, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
