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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Minaa Basra v Duhok: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq
1–1
FT

Duhok

LDWDD
Al Minaa Basra 34%Draw 23%Duhok 42% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.30
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultDuhok to win ✗42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.74

Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Duhok travel to face Al Minaa Basra on Friday 18 September in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Duhok are 8th (upper half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Al Minaa Basra, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Kahrabaa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Duhok, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Al Karkh, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Duhok.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Minaa Basra 1.1 xG, Duhok 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Minaa Basra 34%, draw 23%, Duhok 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Duhok. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Minaa Basra34%fair 2.92 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Duhok42%fair 2.36 · @2.38
2.43Expected goals
1.13Al Minaa Basra xG
1.30Duhok xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.1 – 1.3 Duhok expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDuhok to win ✗42%2.362.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.82–
Draw no betDuhok (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapAl Minaa Basra +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreDuhok to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Duhok / FT Duhok ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.74–

Recent results

Al Minaa Basra – last 6

LDLLWW
13 Sep@ Al Kahrabaa1–2L
9 Sepvs Naft Maysan1–1D
5 Sepvs Naft0–3L
31 Aug@ Erbil0–2L
26 Augvs Gharraf3–0W
20 Augvs Zakho2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Duhok – last 6

LDWDDD
13 Sep@ Al Karkh2–3L
8 Sepvs Ghaz Al Shamal1–1D
3 Sepvs Al Quwa Al Jawiya2–1W
30 Aug@ Newroz0–0D
26 Aug@ Naft1–1D
22 Augvs Al Talaba3–3D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Mar 2026Al Minaa Basra v Duhok1–1
Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?

On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Duhok 42%.

How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?

Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Duhok, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?

Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.