Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Picks by market
ResultErbil to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceErbil or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Naft Maysan vs Erbil: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Erbil travel to face Naft Maysan on Thursday 8 October in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 16:45 WAT. In the table, Naft Maysan are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Erbil are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Naft Maysan, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Al Karkh, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Erbil, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Karbala, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Erbil, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Naft Maysan.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Naft Maysan 0–0 Erbil.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft Maysan 0.6 xG, Erbil 1.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 41%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft Maysan 17%, draw 21%, Erbil 62%.
Lower-risk option: Erbil or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Erbil to win (62%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft Maysan 0–1 Erbil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft Maysan17%fair 5.81 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.25
Erbil62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
2.23Expected goals
0.65Naft Maysan xG
1.58Erbil xG
41%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–213%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Naft Maysan 0.6 – 1.6 Erbil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Erbil to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
On our numbers Naft Maysan have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Erbil 62%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
Our predicted score is Naft Maysan 0–1 Erbil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
Naft Maysan vs Erbil (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
