Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.63
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Al-Karma in the Iraqi League. In the table, Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Al-Karma are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Al Ain, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Al-Karma, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Al Karkh, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al-Karma, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.2 xG, Al-Karma 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Quwa Al Jawiya 33%, draw 23%, Al-Karma 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al-Karma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya33%fair 3.03 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Al-Karma44%fair 2.27 · @2.35
2.62Expected goals
1.19Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
1.43Al-Karma xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.2 – 1.4 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✗
44%
2.27
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Al-Karma (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Al Quwa Al Jawiya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Al-Karma to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.63
–
Recent results
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6
LWDLLW
12 Oct
vs Al Ain
1–4
L
7 Oct
@ Mosul
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Diyala
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Neftchi
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Al Zawra'a
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Karbala
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Karma – last 6
WWWWWW
10 Oct
vs Al Karkh
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Zakho
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ Erbil
2–1
W
9 Sep
vs Naft
3–0
W
3 Sep
@ Diyala
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Karbala
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al-Karma.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Karma 44%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
