Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Zawra'a to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceAl Zawra'a or draw ✗87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.04
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ghaz Al Shamal welcome Al Zawra'a for a Iraqi League fixture on Sunday 18 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Ghaz Al Shamal are 10th, upper half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Al Zawra'a are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Ghaz Al Shamal, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al Minaa Basra, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Zawra'a, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Qatar SC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al Zawra'a, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Ghaz Al Shamal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ghaz Al Shamal 0.5 xG, Al Zawra'a 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ghaz Al Shamal 13%, draw 23%, Al Zawra'a 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Zawra'a to win (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ghaz Al Shamal 0–1 Al Zawra'a. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ghaz Al Shamal13%fair 7.79 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.30
Al Zawra'a64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
2.05Expected goals
0.51Ghaz Al Shamal xG
1.55Al Zawra'a xG
38%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–215%
0–013%
1–110%
0–38%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ghaz Al Shamal 0.5 – 1.5 Al Zawra'a expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Zawra'a to win✗
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Al Zawra'a or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Al Zawra'a (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Al Zawra'a -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Al Zawra'a to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Zawra'a / FT Al Zawra'a✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.04
–
Recent results
Ghaz Al Shamal – last 6
LDDDLW
10 Oct
@ Al Minaa Basra
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Newroz
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Al Shorta
0–0
D
8 Sep
@ Duhok
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Al-Jolan SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Gharraf
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Zawra'a – last 6
DLWWWD
13 Oct
@ Qatar SC
1–1
D
8 Oct
@ Duhok
0–3
L
17 Sep
vs Gharraf
2–0
W
10 Sep
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–0
W
7 Sep
vs Al Kahrabaa
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Mosul
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ghaz Al Shamal and Al Zawra'a.
What is the prediction for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
Our pick is Al Zawra'a to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
On our numbers Ghaz Al Shamal have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Zawra'a 64%.
How many goals will there be in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
Our predicted score is Ghaz Al Shamal 0–1 Al Zawra'a, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
