Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Karma to win ✓61% · @1.65
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.85
Al-Karma vs Duhok: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the Iraqi League brings Al-Karma against Duhok. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Al-Karma are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Duhok are 8th (upper half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al-Karma, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Minaa Basra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Duhok, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Karbala, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Al-Karma, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Duhok.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Al-Karma 3–0 Duhok.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Karma 1.8 xG, Duhok 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Karma 61%, draw 22%, Duhok 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Karma to win (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Karma 1–0 Duhok. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Karma61%fair 1.63 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.50
Duhok17%fair 6.00 · @4.50
2.67Expected goals
1.84Al-Karma xG
0.83Duhok xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.8 – 0.8 Duhok expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Duhok?
On our numbers Al-Karma have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Duhok 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Duhok?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Duhok?
Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Duhok, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al-Karma vs Duhok?
Al-Karma vs Duhok (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
