Al Quwa Al Jawiya 63%Draw 23%Al Minaa Basra 13%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.65
63%
Betarazi pick
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceAl Quwa Al Jawiya or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Thursday 29 October: Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Al Minaa Basra in the Iraqi League. In the table, Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Al Minaa Basra are 9th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pakhtakor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Minaa Basra, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al-Karma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.7 xG, Al Minaa Basra 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Quwa Al Jawiya 63%, draw 23%, Al Minaa Basra 13%.
Lower-risk option: Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win (63%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Al Minaa Basra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya63%fair 1.58 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.20
Al Minaa Basra13%fair 7.44 · @4.00
2.39Expected goals
1.74Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
0.65Al Minaa Basra xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.7 – 0.7 Al Minaa Basra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win✗
63%
1.58
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Al Quwa Al Jawiya (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Al Quwa Al Jawiya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.10
–
First team to score
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Quwa Al Jawiya / FT Al Quwa Al Jawiya✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.30
–
Recent results
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6
WLDLWD
26 Oct
vs Pakhtakor
1–0
W
22 Oct
@ Al Talaba
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Al-Karma
0–0
D
12 Oct
vs Al Ain
1–4
L
7 Oct
@ Mosul
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Diyala
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Minaa Basra – last 6
WLWDLD
24 Oct
vs Al-Karma
2–1
W
16 Oct
@ Newroz
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Ghaz Al Shamal
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Duhok
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Al Kahrabaa
1–2
L
9 Sep
vs Naft Maysan
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Minaa Basra.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our pick is Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Minaa Basra 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Al Minaa Basra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
