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Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Al Karkh: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq
0–1
FT
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 58%Draw 21%Al Karkh 21% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.90
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✗58% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Karkh travel to face Al Quwa Al Jawiya on Saturday 7 November in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Al Karkh are 16th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Al Quwa Al Jawiya, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Al-Wasl FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Al Karkh, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gharraf, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Mar 2026) it ended Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Al Karkh.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.7 xG, Al Karkh 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Quwa Al Jawiya 58%, draw 21%, Al Karkh 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.87.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al Karkh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Quwa Al Jawiya58%fair 1.73 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.34
Al Karkh21%fair 4.69 · @4.68
2.59Expected goals
1.69Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
0.90Al Karkh xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.7 – 0.9 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✗58%1.731.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.87
Draw no betAl Quwa Al Jawiya (draw no bet) ✗73%1.37–
Asian handicapAl Karkh +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.07
First team to scoreAl Quwa Al Jawiya to score first ✗60%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Quwa Al Jawiya / FT Al Quwa Al Jawiya ✗35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6

LDWLDL
2 Nov@ Al-Wasl FC3–4L
29 Octvs Al Minaa Basra0–0D
26 Octvs Pakhtakor1–0W
22 Oct@ Al Talaba0–1L
17 Octvs Al-Karma0–0D
12 Octvs Al Ain1–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Al Karkh – last 6

LDDLWW
31 Octvs Gharraf1–2L
23 Octvs Mosul1–1D
18 Oct@ Al Shorta1–1D
10 Oct@ Al-Karma2–3L
17 Sepvs Naft Maysan3–2W
13 Sepvs Duhok3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Mar 2026Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Al Karkh1–0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh?

On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Karkh 21%.

How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh?

Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.