Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.47 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDiyala to win ✗38% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.70
Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the Iraqi League brings Diyala against Al Minaa Basra. Kick-off: 14:45 WAT. In the table, Diyala are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Al Minaa Basra are 9th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Diyala, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al Zawra'a, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Minaa Basra, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Quwa Al Jawiya, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Diyala, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Al Minaa Basra.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Diyala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Diyala 1.2 xG, Al Minaa Basra 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Diyala 38%, draw 27%, Al Minaa Basra 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.01.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.01 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.47). Most likely score in line with that pick: Diyala 1–1 Al Minaa Basra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Diyala38%fair 2.63 · @2.58
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.52
Al Minaa Basra34%fair 2.90 · @2.96
2.31Expected goals
1.19Diyala xG
1.12Al Minaa Basra xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Diyala 1.2 – 1.1 Al Minaa Basra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
On our numbers Diyala have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Al Minaa Basra 34%.
How many goals will there be in Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our predicted score is Diyala 1–1 Al Minaa Basra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
