Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.44
Erbil vs Gharraf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Erbil v Gharraf in the Iraqi League, played at Franso Hariri Stadium. In the table, Erbil are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Gharraf are 13th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Erbil, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Kazma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Gharraf, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Karkh, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Gharraf 0–0 Erbil.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erbil 1.7 xG, Gharraf 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erbil 67%, draw 20%, Gharraf 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.72.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erbil 1–0 Gharraf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erbil67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.55
Gharraf13%fair 7.63 · @5.75
2.21Expected goals
1.68Erbil xG
0.53Gharraf xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Erbil 1.7 – 0.5 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Erbil vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Erbil have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gharraf 13%.
How many goals will there be in Erbil vs Gharraf?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erbil vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Erbil 1–0 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Erbil vs Gharraf?
Erbil vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
