Lions 58%Draw 19%Peninsula Power 23%Expected goals 2.20 – 1.32
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Lions to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLions to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Lions vs Peninsula Power: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Queensland NPL brings Lions against Peninsula Power at Lions Stadium. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT.
Current form
Lions, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over North Sunshine Eagles, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Peninsula Power, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Brisbane City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lions, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Peninsula Power.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Lions 1–0 Peninsula Power. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lions 1 win, Peninsula Power 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lions 2.2 xG, Peninsula Power 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lions 58%, draw 19%, Peninsula Power 23%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Lions to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lions 2–1 Peninsula Power. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lions58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.50
Peninsula Power23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
3.52Expected goals
2.20Lions xG
1.32Peninsula Power xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lions 2.2 – 1.3 Peninsula Power expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lions vs Peninsula Power?
On our numbers Lions have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Peninsula Power 23%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Peninsula Power?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Our predicted score is Lions 2–1 Peninsula Power, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lions vs Peninsula Power?
Lions vs Peninsula Power (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Lions Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia · Lions Stadium
