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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nasarawa United v Bendel Insurance: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Lafia Township Stadium
1–0
FT
Nasarawa United 63%Draw 25%Bendel Insurance 11% Expected goals 2.05 – 0.82
63%
Betarazi pick

Nasarawa United to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultNasarawa United to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceNasarawa United or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39

Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nasarawa United welcome Bendel Insurance to Lafia Township Stadium for a NPFL fixture on Sunday 6 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Nasarawa United are 5th, upper half, on 56 points after 38 matches; Bendel Insurance are 7th (upper half) with 53. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Nasarawa United, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Barau FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Bendel Insurance, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Warri Wolves, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Nasarawa United 1–0 Bendel Insurance.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nasarawa United 2.1 xG, Bendel Insurance 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nasarawa United 63%, draw 25%, Bendel Insurance 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nasarawa United to win (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nasarawa United 2–0 Bendel Insurance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nasarawa United63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
Bendel Insurance11%fair 8.81 · @5.00
2.87Expected goals
2.05Nasarawa United xG
0.82Bendel Insurance xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Nasarawa United 2.1 – 0.8 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNasarawa United to win ✓63%1.581.65
Double chanceNasarawa United or draw ✓89%1.131.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betNasarawa United (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapNasarawa United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreNasarawa United to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultNasarawa United ahead at half-time ✗48%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nasarawa United / FT Nasarawa United ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12%8.39–

Recent results

Nasarawa United – last 6

LDWLDW
30 Aug@ Barau FC1–3L
17 Junvs Ikorodu City1–1D
11 Junvs Plateau United2–1W
24 May@ Barau FC0–3L
5 Aprvs Kun Khalifat FC0–0D
23 Marvs Rivers United4–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bendel Insurance – last 6

WDWLDL
30 Augvs Warri Wolves2–1W
24 Mayvs Remo Stars1–1D
19 Apr@ Wikki Tourist2–1W
5 Apr@ Kano Pillars0–4L
22 Mar@ Warri Wolves0–0D
8 Mar@ Rivers United1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Nasarawa United v Bendel Insurance1–0
Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Our pick is Nasarawa United to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?

On our numbers Nasarawa United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bendel Insurance 11%.

How many goals will there be in Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Our predicted score is Nasarawa United 2–0 Bendel Insurance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lafia Township Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.