Warri Wolves v Kwara United Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKwara United to win ✗60% · fair 1.67

Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.22

Warri Wolves vs Kwara United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the NPFL brings Warri Wolves against Kwara United at Warri Township Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Warri Wolves are 15th, lower half, on 49 points after 38 matches; Kwara United are 12th (lower half) with 50. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Warri Wolves, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rivers United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Kwara United, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Katsina United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kwara United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Warri Wolves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Warri Wolves 1.0 xG, Kwara United 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Warri Wolves 29%, draw 11%, Kwara United 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warri Wolves 0–1 Kwara United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Warri Wolves29%fair 3.45

Draw11%fair 9.09

Kwara United60%fair 1.67

2.60Expected goals

0.96Warri Wolves xG

1.64Kwara United xG

45%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%

1–112%

0–210%

1–210%

0–07%

1–07%

From our goals model: Warri Wolves 1.0 – 1.6 Kwara United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kwara United to win ✗	60%	1.67	–
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	89%	1.12	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	–
Draw no bet	Kwara United (draw no bet) ✗	67%	1.48	–
Asian handicap	Warri Wolves +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.93	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
First team to score	Kwara United to score first ✗	58%	1.72	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kwara United / FT Kwara United ✗	32%	3.09	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	12%	8.22	–

Warri Wolves – last 6

LLWWLD

16 Sep	@ Rivers United	0–2	L
30 Aug	@ Bendel Insurance	1–2	L
24 May	vs Abia Warriors	2–1	W
5 Apr	vs Rivers United	2–0	W
29 Mar	@ Ikorodu City	3–4	L
22 Mar	vs Bendel Insurance	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Kwara United – last 6

WLDLWW

13 Sep	vs Katsina United	3–0	W
6 Sep	@ Plateau United	0–1	L
30 Aug	vs Kano Pillars	2–2	D
24 May	@ Bayelsa United	0–4	L
19 Apr	vs Barau FC	2–1	W
5 Apr	vs El Kanemi Warriors	3–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	38	19	11	8	+20	68
2	Rivers United	38	19	10	9	+13	67
3	Shooting Stars	38	18	6	14	+1	60
4	Ikorodu City	38	16	10	12	+4	58
5	Nasarawa United	38	16	8	14	+3	56
6	Abia Warriors	38	16	7	15	-3	55
7	Bendel Insurance	37	13	14	10	+5	53
8	Barau FC	38	13	13	12	+4	52
9	Katsina United	37	14	10	13	-2	52
10	Kano Pillars	38	15	6	17	-2	51
11	Plateau United	38	15	5	18	-1	50
12	Kwara United	38	13	11	14	-1	50
13	Enyimba	38	13	10	15	+2	49
14	Kun Khalifat FC	38	13	10	15	-1	49
15	Warri Wolves	38	13	10	15	-5	49
16	Niger Tornadoes	38	13	9	16	+1	48
17	Remo Stars	38	14	5	19	-5	47
18	El Kanemi Warriors	38	13	8	17	-16	47
19	Bayelsa United	38	11	10	17	-5	43
20	Wikki Tourist	38	9	13	16	-12	40

Team

Pts

+20

+13

-3

-2

-2

-1

-1

-1

-5

-5

-16

-5

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Warri Wolves vs Kwara United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance.

Who will win Warri Wolves vs Kwara United?

On our numbers Warri Wolves have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kwara United 60%.

How many goals will there be in Warri Wolves vs Kwara United?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Warri Wolves vs Kwara United?

Our predicted score is Warri Wolves 0–1 Kwara United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Warri Wolves vs Kwara United?

Warri Wolves vs Kwara United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Warri Township Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Warri Wolves v Kwara United: numbers & prediction