Bendel Insurance v Ikorodu City Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBendel Insurance to win ✓45% · fair 2.22

Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.81

Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 23 September the NPFL brings Bendel Insurance against Ikorodu City at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bendel Insurance are 7th, upper half, on 53 points after 37 matches; Ikorodu City are 4th (among the top four) with 58.

Current form

Bendel Insurance, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ranchers Bees, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Ikorodu City, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barau FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bendel Insurance, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ikorodu City.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Bendel Insurance 4–0 Ikorodu City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bendel Insurance 1.5 xG, Ikorodu City 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bendel Insurance 45%, draw 11%, Ikorodu City 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bendel Insurance 1–1 Ikorodu City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bendel Insurance45%fair 2.22

Draw11%fair 9.09

Ikorodu City44%fair 2.27

3.00Expected goals

1.51Bendel Insurance xG

1.49Ikorodu City xG

52%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–18%

1–28%

1–08%

0–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Bendel Insurance 1.5 – 1.5 Ikorodu City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bendel Insurance to win ✓	45%	2.22	–
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	89%	1.12	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.94	–
Draw no bet	Bendel Insurance (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.98	–
Asian handicap	Ikorodu City +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	Bendel Insurance to score first	48%	2.09	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.52	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bendel Insurance / FT Bendel Insurance ✗	23%	4.43	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	8%	11.81	–

Bendel Insurance – last 6

LWLWDW

20 Sep	@ Ranchers Bees	1–2	L
13 Sep	vs Kun Khalifat FC	4–2	W
6 Sep	@ Nasarawa United	0–1	L
30 Aug	vs Warri Wolves	2–1	W
24 May	vs Remo Stars	1–1	D
19 Apr	@ Wikki Tourist	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Ikorodu City – last 6

DDWLDD

19 Sep	vs Barau FC	0–0	D
13 Sep	@ Abia Warriors	2–2	D
30 Aug	vs Ranchers Bees	3–1	W
27 Jul	@ El Kanemi Warriors	0–1	L
17 Jun	@ Nasarawa United	1–1	D
11 Jun	vs Barau FC	2–2	D

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	38	19	11	8	+20	68
2	Rivers United	38	19	10	9	+13	67
3	Shooting Stars	38	18	6	14	+1	60
4	Ikorodu City	38	16	10	12	+4	58
5	Nasarawa United	38	16	8	14	+3	56
6	Abia Warriors	38	16	7	15	-3	55
7	Bendel Insurance	37	13	14	10	+5	53
8	Barau FC	38	13	13	12	+4	52
9	Katsina United	37	14	10	13	-2	52
10	Kano Pillars	38	15	6	17	-2	51
11	Plateau United	38	15	5	18	-1	50
12	Kwara United	38	13	11	14	-1	50
13	Enyimba	38	13	10	15	+2	49
14	Kun Khalifat FC	38	13	10	15	-1	49
15	Warri Wolves	38	13	10	15	-5	49
16	Niger Tornadoes	38	13	9	16	+1	48
17	Remo Stars	38	14	5	19	-5	47
18	El Kanemi Warriors	38	13	8	17	-16	47
19	Bayelsa United	38	11	10	17	-5	43
20	Wikki Tourist	38	9	13	16	-12	40

Team

Pts

+20

+13

-3

-2

-2

-1

-1

-1

-5

-5

-16

-5

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance.

Who will win Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?

On our numbers Bendel Insurance have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Ikorodu City 44%.

How many goals will there be in Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?

Our predicted score is Bendel Insurance 1–1 Ikorodu City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?

Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City (NPFL) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bendel Insurance v Ikorodu City: numbers & prediction