Shooting Stars 61%Draw 21%Nasarawa United 18%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.79
61%
Betarazi pick
Shooting Stars to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultShooting Stars to win ✗61% · @1.57
Double chanceShooting Stars or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nasarawa United travel to face Shooting Stars on Sunday 4 October in the NPFL, with Lekan Salami Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Shooting Stars are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 38 matches; Nasarawa United are 5th (upper half) with 56.
Current form
Shooting Stars, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Enyimba, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Nasarawa United, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Niger Tornadoes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shooting Stars 1.7 xG, Nasarawa United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shooting Stars 61%, draw 21%, Nasarawa United 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shooting Stars to win (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shooting Stars 1–0 Nasarawa United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shooting Stars61%fair 1.64 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Nasarawa United18%fair 5.45 · @5.50
2.51Expected goals
1.72Shooting Stars xG
0.79Nasarawa United xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Shooting Stars 1.7 – 0.8 Nasarawa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shooting Stars to win✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Double chance
Shooting Stars or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Shooting Stars (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Nasarawa United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Shooting Stars to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shooting Stars / FT Shooting Stars✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.15
–
Recent results
Shooting Stars – last 6
LLWLLW
30 Sep
@ Enyimba
2–4
L
27 Sep
@ Warri Wolves
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Katsina United
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Plateau United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ CS Sfaxien
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs CS Sfaxien
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nasarawa United – last 6
WLDLWL
27 Sep
vs Niger Tornadoes
1–0
W
23 Sep
@ Kwara United
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Rivers United
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Enugu Rangers
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Bendel Insurance
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Barau FC
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shooting Stars and Nasarawa United.
What is the prediction for Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Our pick is Shooting Stars to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
On our numbers Shooting Stars have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nasarawa United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Our predicted score is Shooting Stars 1–0 Nasarawa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lekan Salami Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Lagos1