Ikorodu City 67%Draw 22%Kwara United 11%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.53
67%
Betarazi pick
Ikorodu City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultIkorodu City to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceIkorodu City or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.51
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ikorodu City welcome Kwara United to Mobolaji Johnson Arena for a NPFL fixture on Saturday 10 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Ikorodu City are 4th, among the top four, on 58 points after 38 matches; Kwara United are 12th (lower half) with 50.
Current form
Ikorodu City, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rivers United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kwara United, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ranchers Bees, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kwara United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Ikorodu City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ikorodu City 1.7 xG, Kwara United 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 40%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ikorodu City 67%, draw 22%, Kwara United 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ikorodu City to win (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ikorodu City 1–0 Kwara United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ikorodu City67%fair 1.50 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
Kwara United11%fair 9.01 · @6.00
2.25Expected goals
1.72Ikorodu City xG
0.53Kwara United xG
40%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–016%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ikorodu City 1.7 – 0.5 Kwara United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ikorodu City to win✓
67%
1.50
1.55
Double chance
Ikorodu City or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Ikorodu City (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Ikorodu City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ikorodu City to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Ikorodu City ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ikorodu City / FT Ikorodu City✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.51
–
Recent results
Ikorodu City – last 6
LDWLDD
4 Oct
@ Rivers United
0–2
L
30 Sep
@ Sporting Lagos
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Enugu Rangers
2–0
W
23 Sep
@ Bendel Insurance
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Barau FC
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Abia Warriors
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kwara United – last 6
WLWLWL
4 Oct
vs Ranchers Bees
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Kun Khalifat FC
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Nasarawa United
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Warri Wolves
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Katsina United
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Plateau United
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ikorodu City and Kwara United.
What is the prediction for Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
Our pick is Ikorodu City to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
On our numbers Ikorodu City have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kwara United 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
Our predicted score is Ikorodu City 1–0 Kwara United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United (NPFL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mobolaji Johnson Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
