Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting Lagos to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceSporting Lagos or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.19
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bendel Insurance travel to face Sporting Lagos on Sunday 11 October in the NPFL, with Mobolaji Johnson Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Sporting Lagos, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kano Pillars, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Bendel Insurance, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Barau FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Lagos 1.9 xG, Bendel Insurance 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Lagos 65%, draw 21%, Bendel Insurance 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Lagos to win (65%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Lagos 1–0 Bendel Insurance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Lagos65%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.20
Bendel Insurance15%fair 6.86 · @4.75
2.59Expected goals
1.86Sporting Lagos xG
0.73Bendel Insurance xG
42%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sporting Lagos 1.9 – 0.7 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Lagos to win✓
65%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Sporting Lagos or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Sporting Lagos (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Lagos -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Sporting Lagos to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Sporting Lagos ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Lagos / FT Sporting Lagos✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.19
–
Recent results
Sporting Lagos – last 6
DDDWLW
3 Oct
@ Kano Pillars
1–1
D
30 Sep
vs Ikorodu City
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Barau FC
1–1
D
23 Sep
@ Enyimba
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Abia Warriors
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Inter Lagos
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bendel Insurance – last 6
WLWLWL
4 Oct
vs Barau FC
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Abia Warriors
0–3
L
23 Sep
vs Ikorodu City
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Ranchers Bees
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Kun Khalifat FC
4–2
W
6 Sep
@ Nasarawa United
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance.
What is the prediction for Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?
Our pick is Sporting Lagos to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?
On our numbers Sporting Lagos have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bendel Insurance 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?
Our predicted score is Sporting Lagos 1–0 Bendel Insurance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance?
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mobolaji Johnson Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Doma United0
Ranchers Bees0