Niger Tornadoes v Ikorodu City Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNiger Tornadoes to win ✓67% · @1.55

Double chanceNiger Tornadoes or draw ✓90% · @1.10

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.56

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.50

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.75

Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ikorodu City travel to face Niger Tornadoes on Sunday 18 October in the NPFL, with Bako Kontagora Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Niger Tornadoes are 16th, lower half, on 48 points after 38 matches; Ikorodu City are 4th (among the top four) with 58.

Current form

Niger Tornadoes, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ranchers Bees, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ikorodu City, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kwara United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Niger Tornadoes 1.6 xG, Ikorodu City 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Niger Tornadoes 67%, draw 23%, Ikorodu City 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Niger Tornadoes to win (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Ikorodu City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Niger Tornadoes67%fair 1.48 · @1.55

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30

Ikorodu City10%fair 10.21 · @6.25

2.04Expected goals

1.61Niger Tornadoes xG

0.42Ikorodu City xG

36%Both score

35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%

2–017%

0–013%

3–09%

1–19%

2–17%

From our goals model: Niger Tornadoes 1.6 – 0.4 Ikorodu City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Niger Tornadoes to win ✓	67%	1.48	1.55
Double chance	Niger Tornadoes or draw ✓	90%	1.11	1.10
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	64%	1.56	–
Draw no bet	Niger Tornadoes (draw no bet) ✓	87%	1.15	–
Asian handicap	Niger Tornadoes -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	65%	1.55	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Niger Tornadoes to score first ✓	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.15	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Niger Tornadoes / FT Niger Tornadoes ✓	42%	2.40	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	21%	4.75	–

Niger Tornadoes – last 6

DWLDLL

11 Oct	@ Ranchers Bees	0–0	D
4 Oct	vs Kun Khalifat FC	1–0	W
27 Sep	@ Nasarawa United	0–1	L
23 Sep	vs Warri Wolves	0–0	D
20 Sep	@ Katsina United	0–1	L
6 Sep	@ Kano Pillars	2–3	L

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Ikorodu City – last 6

WLDWLD

10 Oct	vs Kwara United	2–0	W
4 Oct	@ Rivers United	0–2	L
30 Sep	@ Sporting Lagos	0–0	D
27 Sep	vs Enugu Rangers	2–0	W
23 Sep	@ Bendel Insurance	1–2	L
19 Sep	vs Barau FC	0–0	D

0.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	38	19	11	8	+20	68
2	Rivers United	38	19	10	9	+13	67
3	Shooting Stars	38	18	6	14	+1	60
4	Ikorodu City	38	16	10	12	+4	58
5	Nasarawa United	38	16	8	14	+3	56
6	Abia Warriors	38	16	7	15	-3	55
7	Bendel Insurance	37	13	14	10	+5	53
8	Barau FC	38	13	13	12	+4	52
9	Katsina United	37	14	10	13	-2	52
10	Kano Pillars	38	15	6	17	-2	51
11	Plateau United	38	15	5	18	-1	50
12	Kwara United	38	13	11	14	-1	50
13	Enyimba	38	13	10	15	+2	49
14	Kun Khalifat FC	38	13	10	15	-1	49
15	Warri Wolves	38	13	10	15	-5	49
16	Niger Tornadoes	38	13	9	16	+1	48
17	Remo Stars	38	14	5	19	-5	47
18	El Kanemi Warriors	38	13	8	17	-16	47
19	Bayelsa United	38	11	10	17	-5	43
20	Wikki Tourist	38	9	13	16	-12	40

Team

Pts

+20

+13

-3

-2

-2

-1

-1

-1

-5

-5

-16

-5

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?

Our pick is Niger Tornadoes to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?

On our numbers Niger Tornadoes have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ikorodu City 10%.

How many goals will there be in Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?

Our predicted score is Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Ikorodu City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?

Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Bako Kontagora Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Niger Tornadoes v Ikorodu City: numbers & prediction