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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bendel Insurance v Rivers United: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium
2–1
FT
Bendel Insurance 41%Draw 11%Rivers United 48% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.31
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultRivers United to win ✗48% · fair 2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.04

Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Bendel Insurance v Rivers United in the NPFL, played at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium. In the table, Bendel Insurance are 7th, upper half, on 53 points after 37 matches; Rivers United are 2nd (among the top four) with 67. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bendel Insurance, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sporting Lagos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Rivers United, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barau FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Rivers United 3–1 Bendel Insurance.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bendel Insurance 1.2 xG, Rivers United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bendel Insurance 41%, draw 11%, Rivers United 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bendel Insurance 1–1 Rivers United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bendel Insurance41%fair 2.44
Draw11%fair 9.09
Rivers United48%fair 2.08
2.47Expected goals
1.16Bendel Insurance xG
1.31Rivers United xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Bendel Insurance 1.2 – 1.3 Rivers United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRivers United to win ✗48%2.08–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betRivers United (draw no bet) ✗54%1.85–
Asian handicapBendel Insurance +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreRivers United to score first48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rivers United / FT Rivers United ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.04–

Recent results

Bendel Insurance – last 6

LWLWLW
11 Oct@ Sporting Lagos1–2L
4 Octvs Barau FC4–1W
27 Sep@ Abia Warriors0–3L
23 Sepvs Ikorodu City2–1W
20 Sep@ Ranchers Bees1–2L
13 Sepvs Kun Khalifat FC4–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Rivers United – last 6

DDWDWD
18 Octvs Barau FC0–0D
11 Oct@ Abia Warriors0–0D
4 Octvs Ikorodu City2–0W
30 Sep@ Katsina United1–1D
24 Sepvs Kun Khalifat FC5–0W
20 Sep@ Nasarawa United1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Rivers United v Bendel Insurance3–1
Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance.

Who will win Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United?

On our numbers Bendel Insurance have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Rivers United 48%.

How many goals will there be in Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United?

Our predicted score is Bendel Insurance 1–1 Rivers United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United?

Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.