Kwara United 34%Draw 11%Bendel Insurance 55%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.60
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · Won ✓
8/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultBendel Insurance to win ✓55% · fair 1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4% · fair 22.63
Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kwara United welcome Bendel Insurance to Kwara Sports Stadium for a NPFL fixture on Sunday 1 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Kwara United are 12th, lower half, on 50 points after 38 matches; Bendel Insurance are 7th (upper half) with 53. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kwara United, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barau FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Bendel Insurance, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rivers United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kwara United 1.1 xG, Bendel Insurance 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kwara United 34%, draw 11%, Bendel Insurance 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kwara United 1–1 Bendel Insurance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kwara United34%fair 2.94
Draw11%fair 9.09
Bendel Insurance55%fair 1.82
2.74Expected goals
1.14Kwara United xG
1.60Bendel Insurance xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kwara United 1.1 – 1.6 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bendel Insurance to win✓
55%
1.82
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Bendel Insurance (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Kwara United +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Bendel Insurance to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bendel Insurance / FT Bendel Insurance
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
4%
22.63
–
Recent results
Kwara United – last 6
DDLWLW
25 Oct
@ Barau FC
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Abia Warriors
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ikorodu City
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Ranchers Bees
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Kun Khalifat FC
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Nasarawa United
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bendel Insurance – last 6
WLWLWL
25 Oct
vs Rivers United
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Sporting Lagos
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Barau FC
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Abia Warriors
0–3
L
23 Sep
vs Ikorodu City
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Ranchers Bees
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kwara United and Bendel Insurance.
What is the prediction for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance.
Who will win Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
On our numbers Kwara United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Bendel Insurance 55%.
How many goals will there be in Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our predicted score is Kwara United 1–1 Bendel Insurance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance?
Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kwara Sports Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
