Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓44% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Division Profesional Clausura brings Sportivo Ameliano against Deportivo Recoleta at Estadio La Fortaleza del Pikysyry. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Sportivo Ameliano are 9th, lower half, on 19 points after 19 matches; Deportivo Recoleta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olimpia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Boca Juniors, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Sportivo Ameliano 3–2 Deportivo Recoleta. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sportivo Ameliano 1 win, Deportivo Recoleta 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Ameliano 1.5 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Ameliano 44%, draw 22%, Deportivo Recoleta 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Recoleta to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Ameliano44%fair 2.27 · @2.02
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.35
Deportivo Recoleta34%fair 2.92 · @3.35
2.77Expected goals
1.49Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.28Deportivo Recoleta xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 1.5 – 1.3 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Recoleta 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Fortaleza del Pikysyry.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
