Club Sp. San Lorenzo 17%Draw 24%Nacional Asuncion 59%Expected goals 0.65 – 1.50
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓59% · @1.78
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nacional Asuncion travel to face Club Sp. San Lorenzo on Friday 28 August in the Division Profesional Clausura – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 19 matches; Nacional Asuncion are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Libertad Asuncion, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Nacional Asuncion, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sportivo Luqueno, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nacional Asuncion, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.6 xG, Nacional Asuncion 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Sp. San Lorenzo 17%, draw 24%, Nacional Asuncion 59%.
Lower-risk option: Nacional Asuncion or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Nacional Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo17%fair 5.89 · @4.45
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.30
Nacional Asuncion59%fair 1.70 · @1.78
2.15Expected goals
0.65Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.50Nacional Asuncion xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–213%
0–012%
1–111%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.6 – 1.5 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Asuncion to win✓
59%
1.70
1.78
Double chance
Nacional Asuncion or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Nacional Asuncion (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Club Sp. San Lorenzo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Nacional Asuncion to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion✓
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6
LLDLLL
24 Aug
@ Libertad Asuncion
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
12 Aug
@ 29 de Setiembre
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Sportivo Luqueno
0–2
L
3 Aug
@ Sportivo Trinidense
0–3
L
30 Jul
vs Club Guarani
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nacional Asuncion – last 6
WWDDLW
24 Aug
vs Sportivo Luqueno
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Benjamín Aceval
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Club Guarani
0–0
D
3 Aug
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–3
L
29 Jul
vs Olimpia
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Nacional Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nacional Asuncion 59%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
