Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗44% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerro Porteno welcome Libertad Asuncion to General Pablo Rojas for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Sunday 30 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, Cerro Porteno are 7th, lower half, on 28 points after 19 matches; Libertad Asuncion are 3rd (among the top four) with 33.
Current form
Cerro Porteno, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Resistencia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club Sp. San Lorenzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Libertad Asuncion, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Cerro Porteno.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 2–3 Cerro Porteno.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Porteno 1.4 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Porteno 44%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Libertad Asuncion to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Porteno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Porteno44%fair 2.26 · @2.06
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Libertad Asuncion33%fair 3.03 · @3.40
2.48Expected goals
1.36Cerro Porteno xG
1.12Libertad Asuncion xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.4 – 1.1 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Libertad Asuncion 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at General Pablo Rojas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
