Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Sderot to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceHapoel Sderot or draw ✓81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the Liga Alef brings Hapoel Sderot against Ironi Beit Shemesh. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Hapoel Sderot, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Ironi Beit Shemesh, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Ironi Beit Shemesh, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Hapoel Sderot.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Sderot 2.1 xG, Ironi Beit Shemesh 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Sderot 58%, draw 23%, Ironi Beit Shemesh 19%.
Lower-risk option: Hapoel Sderot or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hapoel Sderot or draw (81%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Sderot 2–1 Ironi Beit Shemesh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Sderot58%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.70
Ironi Beit Shemesh19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
3.29Expected goals
2.11Hapoel Sderot xG
1.18Ironi Beit Shemesh xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Hapoel Sderot 2.1 – 1.2 Ironi Beit Shemesh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Sderot to win✓
58%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Hapoel Sderot or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Sderot (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Beit Shemesh +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Hapoel Sderot to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Sderot ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Sderot / FT Hapoel Sderot✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Hapoel Sderot – last 6
LWDWLD
26 Oct
vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
2–3
L
23 Oct
@ FC Jerusalem
5–0
W
19 Oct
vs Hapoel Herzliya
2–2
D
12 Oct
@ Hapoel Rahat
4–1
W
9 Oct
@ Dimona
1–4
L
1 Oct
vs Hapoel Azor
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ironi Beit Shemesh – last 6
WDWLWD
23 Oct
vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
5–0
W
18 Oct
@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
3–3
D
9 Oct
vs Tzeirey Tira
3–1
W
1 Oct
@ Maccabi Yavne
1–5
L
23 Sep
vs Nordia Jerusalem
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Ashdod
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Sderot and Ironi Beit Shemesh.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?
Our pick is Hapoel Sderot or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?
On our numbers Hapoel Sderot have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ironi Beit Shemesh 19%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Sderot 2–1 Ironi Beit Shemesh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh?
Hapoel Sderot vs Ironi Beit Shemesh (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Beit Shean0
Tira0
Dimona7
Hapoel Herzliya0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda3
Hapoel Hadera2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek4