Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultASA to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91
ASA vs Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ASA welcome Gama for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 23 August (21:00 WAT).
Current form
ASA, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Goiatuba EC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gama, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sao Jose, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours ASA, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Gama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ASA 1.3 xG, Gama 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ASA 43%, draw 25%, Gama 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA 1–1 Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ASA43%fair 2.34 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.80
Gama32%fair 3.10 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.29ASA xG
1.07Gama xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: ASA 1.3 – 1.1 Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA to win✓
43%
2.34
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.00
Draw no bet
ASA (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Gama +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
ASA to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ASA / FT ASA✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.91
–
Recent results
ASA – last 6
DDWWWW
16 Aug
vs Goiatuba EC
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Goiatuba EC
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Cianorte
5–1
W
18 Jul
@ Cianorte
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Ivinhema
4–0
W
7 Jul
@ Ivinhema
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gama – last 6
WDWLWL
16 Aug
vs Sao Jose
4–0
W
8 Aug
@ Sao Jose
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs America-RN
3–2
W
19 Jul
@ America-RN
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Porto Velho
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Porto Velho
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA and Gama.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win ASA vs Gama?
On our numbers ASA have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gama 32%.
How many goals will there be in ASA vs Gama?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA vs Gama?
Our predicted score is ASA 1–1 Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is ASA vs Gama?
ASA vs Gama (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
