Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Gama to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGama to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceGama or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Gama vs ASA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Gama v ASA in the Serie D.
Current form
Gama, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to ASA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
ASA, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gama, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours ASA, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Gama.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended ASA 2–0 Gama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gama 1.7 xG, ASA 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gama 62%, draw 25%, ASA 13%.
Lower-risk option: Gama or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Gama to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gama 2–0 ASA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gama62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.88
ASA13%fair 7.71 · @4.20
2.28Expected goals
1.66Gama xG
0.62ASA xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gama 1.7 – 0.6 ASA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gama vs ASA?
On our numbers Gama have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ASA 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gama vs ASA?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gama vs ASA?
Our predicted score is Gama 2–0 ASA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gama vs ASA?
Gama vs ASA (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
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