Gualaceo SC 8%Draw 24%Independiente del Valle 68%Expected goals 0.24 – 1.36
68%
Betarazi pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗27% · fair 3.64
Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Friday 25 September: Gualaceo SC v Independiente del Valle in the Copa Ecuador, played at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Current form
Gualaceo SC, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with LDU Portoviejo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Independiente del Valle, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Flamengo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gualaceo SC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Independiente del Valle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gualaceo SC 0.2 xG, Independiente del Valle 1.4 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gualaceo SC 8%, draw 24%, Independiente del Valle 68%.
GG/NG: NG (62%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente del Valle to win (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gualaceo SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gualaceo SC8%fair 12.64 · @10.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.90
Independiente del Valle68%fair 1.47 · @1.33
1.60Expected goals
0.24Gualaceo SC xG
1.36Independiente del Valle xG
38%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–127%
0–020%
0–219%
0–38%
1–17%
1–05%
From our goals model: Gualaceo SC 0.2 – 1.4 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
27%
3.64
–
Recent results
Gualaceo SC – last 6
DWWWDL
19 Sep
vs LDU Portoviejo
0–0
D
10 Sep
@ Cumbayá
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs El Nacional
3–0
W
20 Aug
@ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Atletico FC
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 6
DWLWLD
18 Sep
@ Flamengo
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Libertad
3–2
W
11 Sep
vs Flamengo
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Macara
3–1
W
3 Sep
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gualaceo SC and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Gualaceo SC have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente del Valle 68%.
How many goals will there be in Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Gualaceo SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Gualaceo SC vs Independiente del Valle (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
