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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

LDU de Quito v Aucas: numbers & prediction

Copa Ecuador · Ecuador · Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
1–0
FT

Aucas

WLDWW
LDU de Quito 64%Draw 25%Aucas 12% Expected goals 2.22 – 0.94
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

LDU de Quito vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aucas travel to face LDU de Quito on Wednesday 26 August in the Copa Ecuador, with Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.

Current form

LDU de Quito, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Emelec, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Aucas, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Delfin SC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended Aucas 0–1 LDU de Quito. The last 2 head-to-heads: LDU de Quito 1 win, Aucas 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 2.2 xG, Aucas 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 64%, draw 25%, Aucas 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 2–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

LDU de Quito64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.50
Aucas12%fair 8.60 · @4.60
3.16Expected goals
2.22LDU de Quito xG
0.94Aucas xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: LDU de Quito 2.2 – 0.9 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLDU de Quito to win ✓64%1.571.67 ▲
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓88%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.85 ▲
Draw no betLDU de Quito (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapLDU de Quito -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreLDU de Quito to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultLDU de Quito ahead at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito ✗44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

LDU de Quito – last 6

WDWDLW
24 Augvs Emelec2–0W
20 Augvs Mirassol0–0D
17 Aug@ Aucas1–0W
13 Aug@ Mirassol1–1D
8 Augvs Independiente del Valle0–2L
4 Augvs Delfin SC2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Aucas – last 6

WLDWWL
23 Aug@ Delfin SC1–0W
17 Augvs LDU de Quito0–1L
12 Aug@ La Unión1–1D
8 Augvs Leones del Norte3–0W
2 Aug@ Emelec2–0W
26 Julvs Macara1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Aug 2026Aucas v LDU de Quito0–1
23 Apr 2026LDU de Quito v Aucas0–0
LDU de Quito vs Aucas head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Aucas?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win LDU de Quito vs Aucas?

On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aucas 12%.

How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Aucas?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Aucas?

Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 2–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is LDU de Quito vs Aucas?

LDU de Quito vs Aucas (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.