Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
LDU de Quito vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aucas travel to face LDU de Quito on Wednesday 26 August in the Copa Ecuador, with Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Emelec, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aucas, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Delfin SC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended Aucas 0–1 LDU de Quito. The last 2 head-to-heads: LDU de Quito 1 win, Aucas 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 2.2 xG, Aucas 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 64%, draw 25%, Aucas 12%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 2–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.50
Aucas12%fair 8.60 · @4.60
3.16Expected goals
2.22LDU de Quito xG
0.94Aucas xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 2.2 – 0.9 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aucas 12%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 2–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Aucas?
LDU de Quito vs Aucas (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.