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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bari v AZ Picerno: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio San Nicola

Bari

LWWDW
1–1
FTPens 4–3
Bari 68%Draw 18%AZ Picerno 14% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.59
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBari to win ✗68% · @1.42
Double chanceBari or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Bari vs AZ Picerno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bari welcome AZ Picerno to Stadio San Nicola for a Coppa Italia Serie C fixture on Tuesday 1 September (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Bari, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Barletta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

AZ Picerno, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Scafatese, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours AZ Picerno, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Bari.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bari 1.8 xG, AZ Picerno 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bari 68%, draw 18%, AZ Picerno 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bari 1–0 AZ Picerno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bari68%fair 1.47 · @1.42
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
AZ Picerno14%fair 7.35 · @6.25
2.36Expected goals
1.78Bari xG
0.59AZ Picerno xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Bari 1.8 – 0.6 AZ Picerno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBari to win ✗68%1.471.42
Double chanceBari or draw ✓86%1.161.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.10 ▲
Draw no betBari (draw no bet)83%1.20–
Asian handicapBari -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.12
First team to scoreBari to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultBari ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bari / FT Bari ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

Bari – last 6

LWWDWW
28 Aug@ Barletta0–3L
21 Augvs Cavese3–0W
16 Augvs Casarano1–0W
22 May@ Sudtirol0–0D
8 May@ Catanzaro3–2W
1 Mayvs Virtus Entella2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

AZ Picerno – last 6

WWWWWD
28 Aug@ Scafatese2–0W
23 Augvs Savoia3–2W
14 Augvs Barletta2–1W
13 Aprvs Cosenza3–1W
6 Apr@ Catania2–1W
29 Marvs SS Monopoli0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bari and AZ Picerno.

Bari vs AZ Picerno head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bari vs AZ Picerno?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Bari vs AZ Picerno?

On our numbers Bari have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and AZ Picerno 14%.

How many goals will there be in Bari vs AZ Picerno?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bari vs AZ Picerno?

Our predicted score is Bari 1–0 AZ Picerno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Bari vs AZ Picerno?

Bari vs AZ Picerno (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.